CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e40550879400fc4847e392ed416d80f7a3a7988ca7ca1d7a261d3d450667f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof Kaleido Gaming, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Kaleido Gaming | 60c | 532.64$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaleido Gaming | 72c | 521.26$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 453.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Kaleido Gaming | 65c | 415.17$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.46 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 384.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 362.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 353.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 308.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 298.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Kaleido Gaming | 63c | 290$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 277.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 270.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 203.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 198.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Kaleido Gaming | 66c | 182.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kaleido Gaming | 62c | 172.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 166.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 165.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Kaleido Gaming | 60c | 141.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Kaleido Gaming | 40c | 141.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 108.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 87.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 38c | 76.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Kaleido Gaming | 63c | 61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed Kaleido Gaming | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Kaleido Gaming | 69c | 56.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Kaleido Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Kaleido Gaming | 67c | 42.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 79c | 36.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…246fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…844ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 72c | 27.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 23.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked Kaleido Gaming | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…2216backed Kaleido Gaming | 70c | 21.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…177ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Kaleido Gaming | 74c | 20.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 WinnerKaleido Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.