Lol · resolved market

LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x901195bf114604671a0a37b5f78aac5c73a4e5e41751af7786a97c205ad04a22

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: The Ruddy Sackof Deer Gaming, The Ruddy Sack
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,725 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed The Ruddy Sack	72c	5,719$4,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.78	922	54%498 W · 424 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Deer Gaming	22c	3,061$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.33	2,330	39.4%919 W · 1,411 L	-83.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…ff78backed Deer Gaming	9c	2,019$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Deer Gaming	13c	1,032$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.24	3,159	33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L	-152.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed Deer Gaming	28c	1,015$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.7	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Deer Gaming	41c	971.35$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Deer Gaming	30c	900.65$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.76	2,707	35.9%972 W · 1,735 L	-152.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed The Ruddy Sack	46c	786.11$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.23	193	35.2%68 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked The Ruddy Sack	38c	539.4$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.31	1,453	43.4%630 W · 823 L	+106.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed Deer Gaming	6c	442.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	149	72.5%108 W · 41 L	+11.1wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed The Ruddy Sack	49c	416.11$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.65	698	41.8%292 W · 406 L	+46.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9718…ffd8backed Deer Gaming	60c	404.44$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Deer Gaming	54c	399.99$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Deer Gaming	49c	370.64$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.61	199	59.8%119 W · 80 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Deer Gaming	25c	369.76$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.85	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked Deer Gaming	62c	320.6$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Deer Gaming	12c	282.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Deer Gaming	28c	254.91$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.37	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked The Ruddy Sack	46c	218.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.26	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Deer Gaming	41c	216.52$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.33	402	31.3%126 W · 276 L	-28.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed The Ruddy Sack	53c	201.76$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.7	535	43.4%232 W · 303 L	+33.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Deer Gaming	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	679	57.9%393 W · 286 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed The Ruddy Sack	38c	200$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	174	45.4%79 W · 95 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Deer Gaming	22c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	253	45.8%116 W · 137 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Deer Gaming	63c	199.13$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.23	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadf7…d90fbacked Deer Gaming	5c	192.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Deer Gaming	65c	165.04$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.84	115	21.7%25 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed The Ruddy Sack	29c	153.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.56	1,616	43.8%708 W · 908 L	-74.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Deer Gaming	30c	147.91$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	162	41.4%67 W · 95 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed The Ruddy Sack	51c	132.14$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.14	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Deer Gaming	17c	128.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed The Ruddy Sack	53c	128.3$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.3	205	51.7%106 W · 99 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed The Ruddy Sack	56c	122.8$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.55	158	29.7%47 W · 111 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed The Ruddy Sack	39c	121.64$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.12	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Deer Gaming	44c	112.47$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.38	2,020	30.5%617 W · 1,403 L	-172.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked The Ruddy Sack	46c	106.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.98	237	30%71 W · 166 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked The Ruddy Sack	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	77	39%30 W · 47 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed The Ruddy Sack	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	726	37.7%274 W · 452 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Deer Gaming	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed The Ruddy Sack	46c	90.73$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	292	38.7%113 W · 179 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…0118backed Deer Gaming	61c	90.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…d424backed Deer Gaming	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Deer Gaming	51c	82$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	255	40.4%103 W · 152 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2efe…a0ccbacked The Ruddy Sack	60c	62.94$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…82b9backed The Ruddy Sack	47c	61.74$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.94	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed The Ruddy Sack	45c	58.12$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.98	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Deer Gaming	52c	56.39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	261	54.8%143 W · 118 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Deer Gaming	41c	50.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed The Ruddy Sack	41c	48.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Deer Gaming	79c	48.52$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	1,912	37.1%709 W · 1,203 L	-115.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed The Ruddy Sack	71c	44.45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed The Ruddy Sack	64c	41.86$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.86	334	53.9%180 W · 154 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed The Ruddy Sack	72c	41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	548	24.3%133 W · 415 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…0a49backed Deer Gaming	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed The Ruddy Sack	45c	38.84$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.21	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f1…401ebacked Deer Gaming	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4238…3fbcbacked Deer Gaming	28c	36.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa52b…baf2backed Deer Gaming	60c	33.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked The Ruddy Sack	43c	32.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.54	1,348	47.3%637 W · 711 L	-33.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed The Ruddy Sack	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed The Ruddy Sack	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Deer Gaming	59c	25.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	512	47.3%242 W · 270 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Deer Gaming	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	1,257	52.8%664 W · 593 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Deer Gaming	80c	21.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c48…8edfbacked Deer Gaming	71c	21.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked The Ruddy Sack	75c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.44	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market