TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof Evil Geniuses, KRÜ Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Evil Geniuses38c9,345$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.514542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses35c5,710$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.4440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KRÜ Esports52c4,546$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.791,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed KRÜ Esports61c4,325$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.6619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports64c3,229$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.7865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports65c3,024$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.4853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked KRÜ Esports48c2,281$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports62c2,025$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses43c1,924$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1428143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports57c1,921$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.7793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Evil Geniuses39c1,603$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Evil Geniuses32c1,400$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Evil Geniuses27c1,371$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1813355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked Evil Geniuses45c1,362$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.714445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…9900backed Evil Geniuses8c1,181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Evil Geniuses9c1,117$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed Evil Geniuses29c1,019$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed KRÜ Esports55c997.77$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3426447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed KRÜ Esports58c975$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.52450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed KRÜ Esports52c762.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.372572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Evil Geniuses26c579.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+75.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Evil Geniuses43c475$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2511442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be5…5ef9backed Evil Geniuses5c468$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked KRÜ Esports59c451.18$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.762871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed KRÜ Esports79c450$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.518460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Evil Geniuses43c442.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3625843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed Evil Geniuses22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed KRÜ Esports56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1417948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x015f…d051backed Evil Geniuses46c336.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.632152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KRÜ Esports52c330.96$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.851,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed KRÜ Esports77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.758481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Evil Geniuses39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11727145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Evil Geniuses49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.24953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…4cfdbacked KRÜ Esports57c278.35$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.691546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Evil Geniuses31c213.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2960022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed KRÜ Esports57c201.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked KRÜ Esports71c189.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.131573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Evil Geniuses28c181.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.941,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c3…0334backed KRÜ Esports62c177.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f66…0f71backed Evil Geniuses29c173.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Evil Geniuses30c149.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8116420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed Evil Geniuses23c145.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Esports55c137.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Evil Geniuses48c133.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.054634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evil Geniuses32c132.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1238950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked KRÜ Esports72c126.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.093857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses41c126.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.771,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Evil Geniuses42c120.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f4…c220backed Evil Geniuses45c107.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses25c103.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.331,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed KRÜ Esports57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22bc…0c84backed KRÜ Esports67c89.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked KRÜ Esports59c83.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.612142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…8f39backed Evil Geniuses36c82.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KRÜ Esports64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7490733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed KRÜ Esports63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Evil Geniuses24c75.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.566235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…7f26backed Evil Geniuses28c72.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Evil Geniuses40c71.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…bdebbacked Evil Geniuses21c69.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.715115.7%8 W · 43 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Evil Geniuses29c66.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4132157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked KRÜ Esports78c65.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.357768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Evil Geniuses46c64.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.854146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Evil Geniuses35c61.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed KRÜ Esports59c59.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c66…088cbacked Evil Geniuses43c57.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked KRÜ Esports56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.222440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Esports75c52.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses41c50.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Evil Geniuses43c49.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.359640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed KRÜ Esports53c49.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.252356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bb…385bbacked KRÜ Esports58c46.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c7…2a0abacked KRÜ Esports69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed KRÜ Esports50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed KRÜ Esports68c39.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.717254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Evil Geniuses39c37.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x493e…d38bbacked KRÜ Esports56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed KRÜ Esports57c33.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Evil Geniuses32c32.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6414852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Evil Geniuses46c32.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.934257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Evil Geniuses41c29.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked KRÜ Esports69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.997064.3%45 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc99…e38bbacked KRÜ Esports69c26.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.071266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Esports62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked KRÜ Esports61c23.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.336654.5%36 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed KRÜ Esports76c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.813850%19 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed KRÜ Esports56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked KRÜ Esports53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed KRÜ Esports71c18.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.482080%16 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed KRÜ Esports71c18.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.354477.3%34 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked KRÜ Esports55c18.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0920439.2%80 W · 124 L-18.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.