CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941c2d6e884281eb70a5bd2617aa27cc9a9583d643f773a00c446c908236c833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga | 39c | 4,780$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.67 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1WIN | 65c | 4,248$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.01 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Nemiga | 35c | 3,793$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.21 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 1WIN | 60c | 2,963$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.48 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked 1WIN | 75c | 2,930$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.48 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nemiga | 35c | 1,867$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.38 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 1WIN | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Nemiga | 35c | 1,436$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Nemiga | 37c | 1,229$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.85 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nemiga | 37c | 721$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN | 67c | 664.92$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Nemiga | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked 1WIN | 67c | 646$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nemiga | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Nemiga | 34c | 393.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Nemiga | 33c | 386.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed 1WIN | 65c | 382.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed 1WIN | 64c | 338.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 25c | 336.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1WIN | 56c | 333.09$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga | 22c | 299.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 66c | 278.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga | 42c | 254$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Nemiga | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 15c | 232.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…8ae1backed 1WIN | 63c | 226.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked 1WIN | 61c | 206.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked 1WIN | 66c | 192.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Nemiga | 38c | 189.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 1WIN | 71c | 161.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1WIN | 66c | 147.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nemiga | 43c | 140.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 1WIN | 65c | 121.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked 1WIN | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Nemiga | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Nemiga | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Nemiga | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…602bbacked Nemiga | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 72c | 96.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…e2adbacked 1WIN | 63c | 95.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 77c | 87.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 62c | 78.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 1WIN | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed 1WIN | 67c | 66.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 1WIN | 57c | 60.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 1WIN | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed Nemiga | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked 1WIN | 75c | 43.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed 1WIN | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 1WIN | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed 1WIN | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed 1WIN | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed 1WIN | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked 1WIN | 64c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 1WIN | 58c | 26.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed 1WIN | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked 1WIN | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 1WIN | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked 1WIN | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 1WIN | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.