TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raccoonsof Black Phoenix, Raccoons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Raccoons55c5,207$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix45c4,363$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Black Phoenix46c3,785$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.291,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raccoons58c1,735$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.987,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Black Phoenix44c984.08$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raccoons54c834.93$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.075,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked Raccoons55c820.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.82035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Raccoons56c766.92$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4461154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…59e8backed Raccoons55c541.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Black Phoenix22c499.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.999933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Black Phoenix48c421.78$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2722740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe453…256ebacked Raccoons56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Raccoons55c308.02$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7717142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Raccoons54c307.59$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3419035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Raccoons71c305$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.430153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Raccoons59c283.1$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Black Phoenix33c275.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1217545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Black Phoenix44c255.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8416847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Raccoons55c250.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1251755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed Black Phoenix45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009450%47 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Black Phoenix44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.822455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix48c209.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.831749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked Black Phoenix45c201.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.810346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked Raccoons75c200.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.674837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Raccoons67c200.01$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.214,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Raccoons52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Raccoons54c193.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.793360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7797…7ddcbacked Raccoons56c185$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.42070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3187…f61abacked Raccoons55c181$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.453256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Raccoons53c179.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.391,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Raccoons56c172.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4914641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Black Phoenix45c166.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.994740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Black Phoenix45c166.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.852,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Black Phoenix45c154$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.325551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Black Phoenix41c148.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9519953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Raccoons75c141.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.434,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Raccoons56c140.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8648242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…c4f0backed Raccoons52c109.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.533259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Black Phoenix44c109$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9633849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Raccoons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4885851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd4…035bbacked Raccoons56c98.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix47c97.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1661054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix23c97.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.813,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a66…fa83backed Raccoons57c95.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.362626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Black Phoenix45c84.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.124353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Raccoons57c83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4823156.3%130 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Raccoons58c69.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.418655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…33c4backed Black Phoenix43c69.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.132236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Black Phoenix47c64.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2926346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed Black Phoenix46c64.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307938%30 W · 49 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x20f4…8b5ebacked Black Phoenix45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Raccoons75c63.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9679951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix29c63.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.572,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Black Phoenix45c59.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.972733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Raccoons75c59.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9535141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked Raccoons55c54.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.424434.1%15 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix21c53.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Raccoons56c52.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1820957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd957…acd3backed Raccoons56c52.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix45c50.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.741,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Black Phoenix46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix23c43.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Raccoons56c41.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2113358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Raccoons56c38.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.994,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc53d…7ffcbacked Black Phoenix44c37.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.653554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc809…14ddbacked Raccoons68c34.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Raccoons56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8818663.4%118 W · 68 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Raccoons78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8552369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Raccoons52c25.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.182,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Raccoons58c25.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.592630.8%8 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2260…5318backed Black Phoenix40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…a02dbacked Black Phoenix40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Black Phoenix47c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2285054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Raccoons75c21.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3273948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Raccoons60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810152.5%53 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Raccoons73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.418951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed Raccoons55c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd5…e5e7backed Raccoons59c19.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.