CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc3776a4004673090df1d616b6684887eb11230b73bff1614a346d4b0034e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 38c | 1,391$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 38c | 1,097$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.79 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 977.46$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.25 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 39c | 731.71$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 63c | 706.71$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.28 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 61c | 532.79$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 64c | 408.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.16 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 62c | 180$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 61c | 130.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Under | 61c | 107$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Under | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 89.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…1b6bbacked Under | 62c | 80.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 60c | 80.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 61c | 79.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…77e3backed Under | 62c | 77.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Under | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…145abacked Under | 64c | 67.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Under | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed Under | 64c | 39.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 35.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 35c | 35.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…ee63backed Under | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Under | 61c | 18.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsJulie&cie won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerJulie&cie won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)Julie&cie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.