CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264378515e8f29f3b3658a995b2ac280dad448a751bec99923a7b93831ccad53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julie&cieof NEW VISION, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed NEW VISION | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…2f5ebacked Julie&cie | 35c | 567.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 554.71$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NEW VISION | 66c | 409.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Julie&cie | 22c | 305.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Julie&cie | 31c | 302.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Julie&cie | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Julie&cie | 53c | 299$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 210.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Julie&cie | 38c | 172.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Julie&cie | 30c | 168.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NEW VISION | 65c | 165.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 68c | 142.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Julie&cie | 32c | 133.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION | 65c | 129$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Julie&cie | 32c | 115.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 56c | 103.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie | 46c | 102.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julie&cie | 39c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NEW VISION | 54c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NEW VISION | 31c | 67.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Julie&cie | 38c | 66.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julie&cie | 41c | 56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NEW VISION | 70c | 55.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked NEW VISION | 64c | 52.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NEW VISION | 69c | 52.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Julie&cie | 46c | 52.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1731…f488backed Julie&cie | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 70c | 46.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NEW VISION | 49c | 43.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Julie&cie | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NEW VISION | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 69c | 37.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NEW VISION | 34c | 35.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NEW VISION | 66c | 32.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed NEW VISION | 60c | 32.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Julie&cie | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NEW VISION | 71c | 25.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julie&cie | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked NEW VISION | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Julie&cie | 62c | 20.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Julie&cie | 76c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsJulie&cie won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)Julie&cie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.