CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447b8dc6dd18e52cd4cbbad1587a13c80e659f58fa173b133f40d11eee308df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julie&cieof NEW VISION, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 1,717$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Julie&cie | 37c | 540.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.02 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed NEW VISION | 55c | 485.6$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked NEW VISION | 59c | 480$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Julie&cie | 43c | 437.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed NEW VISION | 59c | 353.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 310.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Julie&cie | 38c | 288$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed NEW VISION | 63c | 259.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked NEW VISION | 62c | 245$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Julie&cie | 39c | 197.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed NEW VISION | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Julie&cie | 42c | 155.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed NEW VISION | 57c | 138.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NEW VISION | 58c | 134.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NEW VISION | 56c | 130.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed NEW VISION | 66c | 123.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked NEW VISION | 60c | 114.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NEW VISION | 55c | 81.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed NEW VISION | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked NEW VISION | 53c | 51.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julie&cie | 41c | 42.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed NEW VISION | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsJulie&cie won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerJulie&cie won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.