Valorant · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1bf8f45cbc29ba4dd947e4d23821444c6b39ae8cf3a36c5ee3369b0e4169ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZETA DIVISIONof Rex Regum Qeon, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rex Regum Qeon | 42c | 659.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Rex Regum Qeon | 44c | 587.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 501$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rex Regum Qeon | 41c | 477$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 86.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed ZETA DIVISION | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed ZETA DIVISION | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.