Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81653134fc554fb8ded34e41971b3e6fd448a2c89ae0db5eb04bcf81095143c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZETA DIVISIONof Rex Regum Qeon, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed ZETA DIVISION | 54c | 1,500$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.16 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Rex Regum Qeon | 46c | 888$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Rex Regum Qeon | 47c | 580$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ZETA DIVISION | 51c | 349.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ZETA DIVISION | 50c | 299.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Rex Regum Qeon | 49c | 195.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Rex Regum Qeon | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Rex Regum Qeon | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Rex Regum Qeon | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 89.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ZETA DIVISION | 57c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rex Regum Qeon | 48c | 74.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…30c2backed Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked ZETA DIVISION | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Rex Regum Qeon | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 38.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 53c | 34.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ZETA DIVISION | 59c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…bf50backed Rex Regum Qeon | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.