Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e2ebfc40b3053c31453bb0350ff554591c92f851644887e6d3239078a54dd18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked BESTIA | 60c | 1,081$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.17 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BESTIA | 55c | 740.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Contra | 45c | 610$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Contra | 34c | 535.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 39c | 502.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Contra | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Contra | 54c | 368.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked BESTIA | 52c | 349.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contra | 40c | 335.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BESTIA | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 71c | 279.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed BESTIA | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Contra | 40c | 259.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed BESTIA | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Contra | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Contra | 35c | 193.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 63c | 189.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Contra | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 54c | 186.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Contra | 23c | 170.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contra | 21c | 160.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed BESTIA | 66c | 151.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Contra | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed BESTIA | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Contra | 28c | 102.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Contra | 30c | 100.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Contra | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Contra | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 13c | 91.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed BESTIA | 65c | 91.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Contra | 44c | 90.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Contra | 51c | 71.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Contra | 33c | 70.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed BESTIA | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed BESTIA | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked BESTIA | 60c | 50.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Contra | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Contra | 30c | 45.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA | 56c | 42.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed BESTIA | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed BESTIA | 64c | 34.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed BESTIA | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed BESTIA | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed BESTIA | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed BESTIA | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…8ca5backed BESTIA | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Contra | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BESTIA | 59c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed BESTIA | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)BESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5)Contra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.