Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c33294063dacfccd74b7bb9acafceced32d9a619e6efddaa02b133c5868711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA | 61c | 1,613$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Contra | 37c | 808.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Contra | 41c | 780.63$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.65 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA | 65c | 520.61$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Contra | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BESTIA | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked BESTIA | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Contra | 38c | 304.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA | 70c | 293.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed BESTIA | 61c | 279.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Contra | 20c | 222.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Contra | 39c | 220.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 70c | 187.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contra | 20c | 137.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Contra | 39c | 115.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Contra | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Contra | 24c | 99.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Contra | 34c | 93.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Contra | 34c | 87.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA | 60c | 72.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Contra | 57c | 59.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Contra | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Contra | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked BESTIA | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked BESTIA | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…3ff8backed BESTIA | 53c | 37.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…be03backed BESTIA | 70c | 33.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Contra | 40c | 25.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Contra | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed BESTIA | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…56babacked BESTIA | 79c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)BESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5)Contra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.