CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141e8e9556987ef3f315125227b88096c506ae0712cd4374668294a1b362e402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Falcons Force | 3c | 1,977$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 1,637$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.3 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 77c | 1,186$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Falcons Force | 45c | 1,021$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.61 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bebop | 63c | 937.88$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Falcons Force | 16c | 754.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Bebop | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bebop | 54c | 392.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Falcons Force | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bebop | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Falcons Force | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Bebop | 74c | 159.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Falcons Force | 11c | 128.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bebop | 55c | 112.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 77c | 51.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Falcons Force | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 184 | 48.4%89 W · 95 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bebop | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Falcons Force | 41c | 27.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Bebop | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bebop | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…3fcbbacked Bebop | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Bebop | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.