CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00560965b6c229e5d98d9313cc75a12640e7220e0c6146f0f382c16ef0624432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 2,780$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.69 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SAW Youngsters | 65c | 1,976$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.73 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SAW Youngsters | 66c | 1,550$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.79 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 845.92$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.29 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 668.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.75 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 545.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked SAW Youngsters | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed SAW Youngsters | 65c | 235.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 119.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SAW Youngsters | 64c | 113.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SAW Youngsters | 66c | 98.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 64.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked SAW Youngsters | 64c | 64.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.