Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df728ffdc239de166aeb6d7ca40d04a14dce2011960b4ccab6fc19414be7eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Eternal Fire, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 24,943$10,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,217.51 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.1 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Heretics | 59c | 5,376$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Heretics | 61c | 4,000$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.53 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 2,106$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.13 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 1,504$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.69 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 1,495$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.02 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 1,442$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,428$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 59c | 1,299$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 80c | 1,124$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 1,081$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 797.94$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 742.04$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Heretics | 57c | 737.86$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 656.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 77c | 580.16$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 564.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Heretics | 61c | 560.72$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 500.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 78c | 491$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Team Heretics | 62c | 381.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Team Heretics | 61c | 356.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 340.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 286.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Eternal Fire | 8c | 251$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Eternal Fire | 10c | 246.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 242.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics | 60c | 233.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 21c | 187$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 146.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Heretics | 72c | 136.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Heretics | 62c | 132.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 131.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 122.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…cdfdbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Team Heretics | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Team Heretics | 61c | 101.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 87.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 85.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Team Heretics | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Team Heretics | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Heretics | 75c | 48.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Team Heretics | 61c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Team Heretics | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Heretics | 79c | 31.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Team Heretics | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 17.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)Team Heretics won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)Team Heretics won
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.