TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Team Jenz, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax47c23,110$10,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,224.5271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Jenz51c11,512$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.8389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Jenz53c8,017$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.845048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Team Syntax48c7,107$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.888046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Jenz54c6,988$3,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.4180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax48c6,455$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.481,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Syntax66c6,225$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.8354058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Jenz53c5,561$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.5493546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Jenz52c5,285$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.5925446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Jenz52c4,689$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.7250850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Syntax41c3,725$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.0945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax46c3,502$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.9879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Jenz53c3,066$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.5721155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Jenz54c2,342$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9819148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax51c2,112$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.011,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax48c2,058$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.0432756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Jenz51c2,056$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.5257449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked Team Syntax51c1,900$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.147045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax38c1,756$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.5147650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax53c1,750$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.4231865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax29c1,660$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.8189238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Syntax39c1,547$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.2318844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Jenz55c1,434$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4726247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Syntax49c1,412$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72788166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Syntax48c1,237$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2434051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Jenz68c1,235$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84016055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Team Syntax35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Team Jenz61c1,115$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz50c1,083$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.272,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed Team Syntax49c1,058$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7221047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Team Jenz50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Jenz55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Jenz52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa28a…01c5backed Team Syntax48c934.95$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Syntax49c930.24$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Jenz55c896.33$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.5661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Syntax47c887.63$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3326147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Team Syntax32c868.74$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.741361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Syntax35c799.98$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9921146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Jenz70c798.37$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.9422259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Jenz53c755.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Team Jenz53c750.94$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39815545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Jenz60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax23c734.32$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Syntax46c722.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2416539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Team Jenz51c655$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3348847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Syntax46c612.23$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.628145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Jenz52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Syntax45c568.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.978048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax35c515.95$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4261449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Jenz48c510$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.81,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Jenz54c506.76$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.151,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Team Syntax64c501.43$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.711752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked Team Jenz65c492.75$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Jenz55c463.24$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0217965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Syntax21c457.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0941632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz37c450$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16532445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Team Jenz67c448.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.734634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Jenz68c447.83$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Syntax49c440.96$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.031,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Jenz12c440.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Jenz69c437.79$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.648057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed Team Syntax47c410.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.495352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Syntax43c397$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.624238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Syntax29c392.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5123736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Team Syntax32c381.25$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2514643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Syntax50c373.31$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0521328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Team Syntax39c370.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.584247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax46c369.92$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4666947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Team Syntax48c346.33$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team Jenz74c335.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Jenz56c306.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0830054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Jenz46c299.22$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1195841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Syntax32c297.79$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2968345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Team Jenz65c295.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0414154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Syntax13c294.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9818733.2%62 W · 125 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Team Syntax48c273.52$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.737057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Jenz47c272.07$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Syntax61c272$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8543860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax44c269.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6527636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Jenz76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax58c245$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.941455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Jenz68c239.59$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9210040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Syntax32c238$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8411649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Jenz52c226$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5847951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax46c210.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8815551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Team Jenz56c210.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6122558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Team Jenz43c208.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.581526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz51c207.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10718562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Jenz51c207.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.281,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Team Syntax49c204.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Team Jenz58c203.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.916822.1%15 W · 53 L-15.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Team Syntax41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11812048.3%58 W · 62 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Team Syntax51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Team Syntax31c199.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.989740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Team Jenz56c198.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.176368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax34c196.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.111,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Team Jenz43c195.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.064360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Syntax9c192.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.283323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Syntax47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.499855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.