Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51405700f96426f67d889a76a4187f0511c0e24ab4ca8e0e0e84d2745d82b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Team Jenz, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax | 58c | 8,315$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.51 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Jenz | 41c | 6,616$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Syntax | 45c | 2,199$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Jenz | 45c | 2,000$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.09 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Syntax | 56c | 1,769$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.53 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 1,417$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.84 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Jenz | 36c | 1,128$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Jenz | 52c | 1,072$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Jenz | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Syntax | 57c | 877.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Jenz | 34c | 871.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz | 30c | 838.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Syntax | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Syntax | 60c | 591.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Team Syntax | 67c | 532.09$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax | 57c | 431.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Team Syntax | 59c | 326.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Jenz | 27c | 325.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Syntax | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Team Jenz | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Jenz | 23c | 271.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Jenz | 12c | 256.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 48c | 249.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Jenz | 15c | 234.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Team Syntax | 49c | 232.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed Team Syntax | 58c | 209.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Team Jenz | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Team Jenz | 58c | 191.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Jenz | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Syntax | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Jenz | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Team Jenz | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Syntax | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Jenz | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Syntax | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Syntax | 58c | 129.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Team Syntax | 60c | 128.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax | 67c | 128.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Team Jenz | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Jenz | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Jenz | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 46c | 119.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Jenz | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Jenz | 24c | 81.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 62c | 74.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Syntax | 59c | 66.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team Jenz | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Jenz | 31c | 63.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Jenz | 38c | 62.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Team Jenz | 58c | 61.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Jenz | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Syntax | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Jenz | 43c | 41.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Syntax | 73c | 40.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Jenz | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Syntax | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Syntax | 57c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Team Jenz | 38c | 31.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Team Jenz | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Jenz | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team Jenz | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ATeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Jenz won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)Team Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.