CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ecdb98660072430e450540f5bfe560a7706f1c9bdb248fe38b0563f44a36d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Subtop De France | 19c | 4,350$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.57 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed SAW | 80c | 3,204$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.26 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Subtop De France | 7c | 2,850$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Subtop De France | 9c | 2,199$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW | 65c | 1,026$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Subtop De France | 29c | 840.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Subtop De France | 22c | 785.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Subtop De France | 7c | 734.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Subtop De France | 7c | 667.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Subtop De France | 35c | 450.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed SAW | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed SAW | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SAW | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Subtop De France | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Subtop De France | 20c | 252.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Subtop De France | 10c | 242.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked SAW | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Subtop De France | 15c | 198.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Subtop De France | 21c | 177.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Subtop De France | 18c | 175.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Subtop De France | 19c | 150.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Subtop De France | 34c | 147.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Subtop De France | 28c | 139.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Subtop De France | 9c | 138.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Subtop De France | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Subtop De France | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Subtop De France | 32c | 87.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Subtop De France | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed SAW | 68c | 55.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Subtop De France | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Subtop De France | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked SAW | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked SAW | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SAW | 74c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed SAW | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed SAW | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.