CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3cf458c244e48e4cabafe85d56ecb592b39243c503c745578d35ada429232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed55…1932backed SAW | 66c | 3,525$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Subtop De France | 34c | 2,501$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.91 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed SAW | 70c | 2,171$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.32 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SAW | 70c | 1,700$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Subtop De France | 32c | 995$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed SAW | 63c | 973.99$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed SAW | 62c | 970.55$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.72 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Subtop De France | 36c | 944.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Subtop De France | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Subtop De France | 24c | 735$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed SAW | 78c | 596.76$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Subtop De France | 34c | 473.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Subtop De France | 37c | 470$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Subtop De France | 25c | 442.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Subtop De France | 32c | 425$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed SAW | 59c | 415.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Subtop De France | 26c | 371.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Subtop De France | 28c | 360.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Subtop De France | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Subtop De France | 39c | 276.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Subtop De France | 21c | 272.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked SAW | 75c | 266.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Subtop De France | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Subtop De France | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Subtop De France | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Subtop De France | 41c | 151.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Subtop De France | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Subtop De France | 40c | 128.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Subtop De France | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Subtop De France | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Subtop De France | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Subtop De France | 35c | 90.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Subtop De France | 38c | 60.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Subtop De France | 33c | 55.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Subtop De France | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed SAW | 60c | 46.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed SAW | 63c | 34.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4ea6backed SAW | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.