CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc64e81b48fa45e9244311497e8b795f1fc97bef419b268d92c1801be8f5df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Subtop De France | 13c | 2,500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed SAW | 76c | 1,979$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.82 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Subtop De France | 27c | 1,008$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Subtop De France | 27c | 806.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Subtop De France | 24c | 745.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Subtop De France | 11c | 684.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SAW | 76c | 400$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France | 8c | 381.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed SAW | 70c | 333.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Subtop De France | 14c | 332.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Subtop De France | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…ea07backed Subtop De France | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SAW | 73c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked SAW | 71c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed SAW | 71c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.