WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a6b38a1bdc6773268d8cec708cd63ef2cd5047e41b5acfe7c6bd02e659203a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 56,892$34,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,065.34 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 15,341$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 7,637$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.74 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 46c | 5,363$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.6 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 5,151$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 30c | 5,078$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.94 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 4,634$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.08 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 18c | 4,530$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 45c | 3,664$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.78 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 3,400$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 2,331$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 45c | 2,150$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 25c | 2,008$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,529$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.78 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,264$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.46 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 20c | 1,259$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 1,066$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 1,037$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 17c | 1,017$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 45c | 1,003$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 736$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 23c | 690$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 627.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 548.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 17c | 408.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 387.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 24c | 387.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 61c | 383.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Under | 45c | 355.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 16cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…605cbacked Under | 45c | 252.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 208.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 203$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 45c | 166.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…30cbbacked Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 129.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 45c | 119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 111.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 100.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 98.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 96.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…3e79backed Over | 25c | 69.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 50.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 46.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 51c | 45.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 43.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 51c | 40.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Under | 56c | 39.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 46c | 37.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Under | 45c | 37.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 36.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 59c | 35.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 43c | 30.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Over | 46c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 47c | 25.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 46c | 24.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.