WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632a103658c1e044e4ee4bcdbe62bee49f3f49fa7878c5ce5972035715ea260f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 5,193$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.27 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 4,221$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.31 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.59 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 894.74$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.47 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 818.71$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 777.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.94 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 669.12$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.94 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Atlanta Dream | 29c | 567.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 512.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 500.04$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Golden State Valkyries | 71c | 448.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 281.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 187.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 170.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 161.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 149.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 71c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 102.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 101.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 81.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 76.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 74.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 49.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 46.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Golden State Valkyries | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 36.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 40c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 27.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.