WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3082b9ef4f62321a9026376d82d9fa10a7e9fee41f3a16be21adbc60cea47e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 6,180$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 3,699$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 52c | 3,649$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.31 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,412$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.6 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 49c | 2,050$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 38c | 773.24$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 50c | 384.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 50c | 331.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 51c | 306.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 201.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 51c | 152.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 51c | 124.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 111.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 107.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 100.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 44c | 76.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 59.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 46.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 33.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 78c | 33.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…2e9bbacked Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 71c | 28.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…687ebacked Over | 43c | 23.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 162.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.