WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb0337764defabe44eb66ec364c291a6f330646120ff0907c60fe59ba4134a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 3,004$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.45 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 2,550$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.85 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 1,398$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.91 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 1,176$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Atlanta Dream | 30c | 1,110$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.19 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 921.09$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.26 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 920.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 780.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 490.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.01 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 423.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 361.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 323.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 304.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 266.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream | 36c | 241.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 237$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Dream | 43c | 217.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 215.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 213.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 203.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 138.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 133.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Atlanta Dream | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 78.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 76.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 67.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 64.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 50.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 47.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 47.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 41.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 37.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 36.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 34.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0884…f381backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 24.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 21.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta DreamGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.