Lol · resolved market
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b2a3a219de41188d00d8b6c95a905c93c363cba8c871741f0905e0794124e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, Estral Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Estral Esports | 78c | 3,833$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Estral Esports | 71c | 3,331$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.46 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 2,750$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Estral Esports | 75c | 2,360$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.98 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 3c | 1,653$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 358 | 35.5%127 W · 231 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Estral Esports | 69c | 840.94$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 610 | 55.7%340 W · 270 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 24c | 706.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 31c | 695.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 23c | 615.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Estral Esports | 70c | 604.7$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 23c | 552$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 464 | 48.9%227 W · 237 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 515.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2866…5355backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 508.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Estral Esports | 72c | 488.79$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 471 | 50.7%239 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 487.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 24c | 404.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 359.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 333.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 566 | 10.4%59 W · 507 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Estral Esports | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 527 | 41.2%217 W · 310 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 26c | 303$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 14c | 299.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 22c | 279$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 25c | 272$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Estral Esports | 74c | 266.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 33c | 226.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 216.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 27c | 209.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Estral Esports | 70c | 199.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 15c | 180.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Estral Esports | 71c | 172.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Estral Esports | 80c | 135.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 13c | 135.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 27c | 129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 483 | 38.7%187 W · 296 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 13c | 126.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Estral Esports | 75c | 123.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 11c | 123.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 17c | 121.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 793 | 42.1%334 W · 459 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 25c | 119.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 35c | 114.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 110.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Estral Esports | 75c | 108.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 103.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 25c | 103.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Estral Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 31c | 93.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 12c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Estral Esports | 67c | 80.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…0f4cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 19c | 78.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 32c | 74.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Estral Esports | 70c | 71.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Estral Esports | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 255 | 40.4%103 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed Estral Esports | 75c | 53.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 318 | 55.3%176 W · 142 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Estral Esports | 73c | 50.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Estral Esports | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Estral Esports | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 47.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…9681backed Estral Esports | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 35.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…04fcbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.