Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71178fd08913db9220286ddef220709ef79cdfa95facf7921b691cee1afa70b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Liverpool FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 7,100$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.52 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Everton FC | 80c | 3,004$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.34 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Everton FC | 80c | 2,290$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.04 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 2,277$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 80c | 1,966$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.66 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Everton FC | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Everton FC | 80c | 960$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Everton FC | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 694.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Everton FC | 80c | 679$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Liverpool FC | 19c | 605.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 467.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Everton FC | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Everton FC | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 102 | 29.4%30 W · 72 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Everton FC | 80c | 289.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 285.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked Everton FC | 80c | 283.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Everton FC | 80c | 280.33$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Liverpool FC | 35c | 275.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Everton FC | 79c | 266.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…2a69backed Liverpool FC | 28c | 250.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Everton FC | 80c | 199.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Liverpool FC | 20c | 146.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Liverpool FC | 35c | 138.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 128.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…e7e6backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC | 19c | 80.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Liverpool FC | 14c | 77.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Everton FC | 80c | 73.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Liverpool FC | 26c | 57.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 52.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Everton FC | 80c | 46.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Everton FC | 68c | 43.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Everton FC | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Everton FC | 67c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Everton FC | 55c | 24.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Everton FC | 80c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Everton FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.