Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e7b9af0b0a0c1d3bfd0c8b78255a7451d458aa95bdb94f5fec3f6bb2af6186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 58c | 613.86$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 42c | 478.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 359.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 60c | 144.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 44c | 118.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed Under | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 81.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 59c | 45.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 35c | 37.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.