NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6741a5cb277817a783f74c6c3876b7c10d93cc3b36a5a9a4b43734456634699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 14,012$7,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.52 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 3,387$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.22 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,402$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,851$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.77 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 920$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 35c | 386$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 52c | 381.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 292.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 253.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 193$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 65c | 166$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 77c | 143.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 105.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 25c | 104.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 45c | 82.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 38c | 43.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 49c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 50c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Under | 74c | 21.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 78c | 13.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.