NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3585e6d458795986612c4825d249030afec1f6fff443ab56e5bd4c9298981df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Jets | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jets | 60c | 478.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 450.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.07 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Golden Knights | 38c | 355.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights | 38c | 355.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Jets | 62c | 349.9$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 47c | 248.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 242.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Jets | 61c | 214$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 62c | 189.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 150.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Golden Knights | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Jets | 65c | 123.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jets | 62c | 105.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 38c | 103.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Golden Knights | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jets | 61c | 95.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 93.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 92.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Golden Knights | 39c | 88.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Golden Knights | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jets | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jets | 52c | 69.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jets | 49c | 67.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Jets | 64c | 65.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jets | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 31c | 57.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jets | 62c | 55.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Golden Knights | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Golden Knights | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Jets | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden Knights | 38c | 44.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…e7a5backed Jets | 37c | 38.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Jets | 62c | 37.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Jets | 62c | 34.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Jets | 63c | 34.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Golden Knights | 39c | 33.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 62c | 33.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Golden Knights | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Jets | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Jets | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Jets | 64c | 25.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights | 42c | 23.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jets | 62c | 22.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden Knights | 61c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Jets | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Jets | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.