NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd4d31b8fdee90e8c7beda9b10ff37dbfb8b817289e2f7c4fd57409e0da0e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 8,010$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.49 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 2,589$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 56c | 2,589$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.84 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 12c | 2,179$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.98 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 9c | 2,174$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Over | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 62c | 969.5$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.09 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 891.26$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 768.88$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 29c | 689$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 656.03$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 9c | 443.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 384$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 9c | 333.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Under | 8c | 217.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 56c | 185.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 184.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 182.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 56c | 181.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 54c | 170.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 79c | 119.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 29c | 105.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 101.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 97.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 93.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Under | 28c | 91.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 27c | 83.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 56c | 83.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 29c | 67.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 59.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 42.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 51c | 39.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…30f7backed Over | 31c | 33.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…e43cbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 42c | 25.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 58c | 21.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.