TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c8,098$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.282,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Under44c7,545$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Under40c4,970$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c3,443$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.881,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over61c2,986$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.65541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c1,988$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.683,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c746.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4230%0 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over61c720.44$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9738055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c683.63$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2512460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c526.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7363645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c490.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.249647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over61c488.3$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.444465.9%29 W · 15 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3218958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under39c459.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.087967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under39c374.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0148146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c348.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0816464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c329.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8116056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over54c295.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.984163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c280.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.442046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over71c278.25$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under39c271.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5833938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.675066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under52c244.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.235044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over71c244.16$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4322221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.61275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb5…bc24backed Over61c240.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under36c208.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.022846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.725942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over63c194.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.784360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over76c190.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.122050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c162.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.511,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.436149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c146.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.71,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under47c142.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.845940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under37c140.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.722147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over60c140.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0429855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c111.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3349143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4438845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over61c96.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.461450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over63c93.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.451957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked Under38c88.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6433047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2522157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Over61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2211751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.953360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…7d87backed Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c76.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.32171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over71c72.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.788347%39 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under37c70.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8517749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over65c69.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.076369.8%44 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over62c67.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.742352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over57c65.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.363351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under38c58.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2611148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under38c58.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.267450%37 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over62c56.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.336860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under38c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9221051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over68c41.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Under31c40.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.672334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Over62c40.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+109.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over63c39.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.475364.2%34 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over62c36.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5382…8d53backed Under38c36.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under40c35.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.216241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under37c32.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.496058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.493043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over64c30.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.138863.6%56 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over62c29.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over54c29.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over60c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.215854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Over62c27.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010865.7%71 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over63c22.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.392860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over60c21.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6315747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over60c21.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.595954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over54c21.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over62c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.222853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over63c18.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.016355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.