Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eda8c6e060c03b8ceb5a5e1b9e09647e39d99c02f93d96dafc6c4e9b875d733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 50c | 3,860$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 3,102$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked Under | 61c | 1,296$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,112$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 61c | 1,060$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.66 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 39c | 744.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.27 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…e094backed Under | 51c | 582.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 38c | 571.78$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 39c | 488.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 431.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 386$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 38c | 380.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 13c | 334$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 39c | 308.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 272.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 249.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 53c | 245.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 212.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 61c | 207.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Under | 51c | 192.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 61c | 173.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 173.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 39c | 150.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 147.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 31c | 145.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 144.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 144.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Over | 38c | 141.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 34c | 105.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 40c | 91.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 84.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 33c | 83.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 37c | 72.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Under | 73c | 71.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 65c | 56.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 44c | 54.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 38c | 53.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 35c | 48.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 39c | 44.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 40.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 34c | 37.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 49c | 32.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…fad4backed Under | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 22.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 70c | 18.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 63c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.