TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c5,986$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.191,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c3,727$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.021,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under40c2,200$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under39c1,781$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.1471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c1,279$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.435356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under42c1,131$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under29c1,059$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.841560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75026660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under64c993.69$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under41c983.43$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.223461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under26c725.73$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.573234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under76c666.63$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over33c599.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c587.7$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over78c528.11$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under40c492.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.381040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c476.55$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c409.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over58c389.92$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under41c371.78$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over59c354.04$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6310364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c354$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c334.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.058654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c325.09$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over59c316.66$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8312556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over59c316.66$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.839558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Over64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under8c300$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over57c294.29$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7410942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over60c292.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.686530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under43c281.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over72c274.8$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.54266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.289920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over61c241.61$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.382626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under47c235.59$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.862240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c232.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2216224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c222.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Over69c204.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2549…91f5backed Under41c199.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Over59c195.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c181.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.327755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under73c181.73$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c179.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over10c169.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+156.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c165.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5312367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Under29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over51c163.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under36c162.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.318143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c155$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over64c153.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under39c140.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over74c132.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under80c124.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over59c123.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.163727%10 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over60c122.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over73c122.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.642254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under44c118.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over74c113.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick62cpaid-68%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over50c111.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over68c108.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Over64c103.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over59c99.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.856360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over60c98.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.581861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Over64c91.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c88.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under55c87.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa920…ccfdbacked Under41c87.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4281…a56fbacked Under50c86.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over61c85.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c84.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7746450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over59c82.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.769058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over61c79.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.259450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over52c78.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.792171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over63c77.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.891560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.953231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over68c69.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.351442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over71c65.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c65.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over60c65.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.043751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under65c62.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc042…c240backed Under36c58.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c55.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over74c53.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.835662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Over54c53.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Over79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.514544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over70c49.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over66c48.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.947058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5935…0161backed Over61c46.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.