Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd5a3449c13031468c5484889da207b9c456cf729005b53d906052ad50e3f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 52c | 9,958$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 9,786$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,291$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 27c | 1,004$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 39c | 618.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 40c | 559.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.57 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 425.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 425.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 425.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 5c | 349.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 329.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Yes | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 58c | 284.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 259.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 256.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 48c | 250.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 208.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 59c | 161.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…ca79backed Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Yes | 68c | 155.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…90bdbacked Yes | 78c | 142.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 131.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 121$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 78c | 113.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed No | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 58c | 100.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 51c | 88.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 25c | 82.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Yes | 76c | 78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 61c | 75.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 60c | 65.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 61c | 65.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 61c | 62.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Yes | 80c | 62.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 54c | 56.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 77c | 51.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 50.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 42c | 45.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 46c | 36.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked No | 50c | 33.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 29.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…12bfbacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.