Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281d6e7272d70e2a0e9879a14da87c5f8c03bd2402d8983a2bf5c2f4659951bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 21,145$11,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158.96 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 52c | 14,600$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 24c | 4,347$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 30c | 1,237$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 669.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 512.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 477.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 421.15$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 74c | 141.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 89.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 68.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 65.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Yes | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 52c | 57.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 52c | 56.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 53.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 41.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 51c | 40.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 27.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 53c | 27.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 49c | 24.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.