NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204d50dfa290218e53bbad1cddc97b36f7cd0ab85eaa3886db65193911042435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,855 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 56c | 33,271$18,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,641.87 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Over | 44c | 20,527$9,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,031.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 9,501$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 1,770$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 34c | 1,408$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.74 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.93 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 1,021$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.37 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 696.07$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…958abacked Over | 44c | 497$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 57c | 434$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…d65fbacked Under | 56c | 408$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 44c | 397.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…721ebacked Over | 44c | 376$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9cefbacked Over | 44c | 358$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…5f57backed Under | 57c | 355.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…7173backed Over | 44c | 351.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f892backed Under | 56c | 346$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa592…dd3ebacked Under | 56c | 346$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…1679backed Over | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…7421backed Under | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…593ebacked Under | 56c | 303$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 295.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…1361backed Over | 44c | 279$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 44c | 261$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…2bf7backed Under | 56c | 221$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…da3bbacked Over | 44c | 214$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…d102backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…06c1backed Under | 56c | 183$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…b784backed Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4008backed Over | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 56c | 164.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 157.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef82…04b8backed Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…cdcbbacked Under | 73c | 127.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…c207backed Over | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 44c | 52.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 44c | 45.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 56c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 29c | 43.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Under | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 44c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 57c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 75c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Utah vs. WildWild won
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.