NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ee1830b380063823fefb62a0443b681c0184f5d0e7947f81969f3d1be8c0ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wild | 38c | 6,173$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.21 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah | 63c | 3,210$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.69 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 37c | 2,921$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.27 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 62c | 2,399$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 62c | 2,233$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Utah | 65c | 1,528$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 35c | 1,044$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.1 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Wild | 38c | 379.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah | 64c | 359.19$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Wild | 37c | 345.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Utah | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Wild | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wild | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wild | 35c | 141.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Utah | 63c | 138.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Utah | 63c | 135.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Utah | 64c | 124.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Utah | 65c | 123.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Utah | 63c | 121.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Utah | 65c | 107.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Utah | 64c | 105.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Wild | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Wild | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Utah | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Utah | 63c | 70.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Utah | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 36c | 53.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Utah | 65c | 53.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wild | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Utah | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Utah | 65c | 30.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Utah | 65c | 26.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wild | 58c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Utah | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Utah | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. WildWild won
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.