NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135839b8f27fccad7880030120740cb49209e8d738a226fa85fe7a7abf5d6727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,589 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 45c | 25,000$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,751.54 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 11,664$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,415.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…04abbacked Over | 55c | 6,600$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 45c | 6,600$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 1,104$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.01 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 55c | 935$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.25 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 636.35$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 629$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 562$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 55c | 545.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 455.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…b3eebacked Under | 45c | 348$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 288.21$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…2f70backed Under | 45c | 271$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 17c | 205.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Under | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…3500backed Over | 55c | 191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…5cd3backed Over | 55c | 171$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 45c | 147.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 65c | 144.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08df…c1c9backed Over | 55c | 133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…35d2backed Over | 55c | 124$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 55c | 90.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 27c | 84.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 83.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 54c | 51.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 44c | 44.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 56c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 32.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 19.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Utah vs. WildWild won
- Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.