MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26683d23dcfe04911f1af5bdde08397b064fd6543f6f03916fce85727bd95457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 6,839$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 3,691$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 2,639$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.26 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 1,314$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,064$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 999.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 911.28$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 761.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.66 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 611.4$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.44 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 514.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 493.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 466.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 407.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 386.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 352.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 335.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 286.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 243.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 186.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 159.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 158.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 122.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 108.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…8e18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 102.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 72.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…af88backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 58.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 54.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 54.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1b…7377backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 51.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 38.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 21.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…0c35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.