Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73ff788671f32d9c1d4f8e68dd6a4eb7e464f257f6639a20592083d7122ea3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 4,444$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 55c | 2,484$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.75 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 55c | 2,077$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.46 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Under | 57c | 474.84$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 54c | 411.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 54c | 214.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 171.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 56c | 159.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 44c | 148.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 55c | 126.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 54c | 55.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 49.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Under | 54c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 54c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5this page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 162.5Over won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)Yale Bulldogs won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Yale Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.