Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77a94244060de6402708e862dfcb92b489deb1f8a584ff4da3fc8998d1047c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,088 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 47c | 4,847$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.64 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,090$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 589.81$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.21 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Under | 49c | 399.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 387.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 224.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 173.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 51c | 172.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 50.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 78c | 26.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 162.5this page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)Yale Bulldogs won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Yale Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.