Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0ffdc9b61f268984462d3e7b5eaa26dd5ac61a951fc86cf9d46efabb156c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 55c | 6,611$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.62 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cornell Big Red | 47c | 3,333$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cornell Big Red | 44c | 2,749$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red | 44c | 1,792$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 1,414$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 291.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs | 58c | 238.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…8c40backed Yale Bulldogs | 56c | 212.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Cornell Big Red | 45c | 212.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Cornell Big Red | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yale Bulldogs | 59c | 188.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Cornell Big Red | 42c | 162$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cornell Big Red | 48c | 157.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cornell Big Red | 46c | 137.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Cornell Big Red | 48c | 118.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cornell Big Red | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 87.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Yale Bulldogs | 57c | 87.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cornell Big Red | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Cornell Big Red | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cornell Big Red | 48c | 47.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Cornell Big Red | 44c | 43.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cornell Big Red | 42c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)this page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 162.5Over won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Yale Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.