MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d80c57f630a8d4682e02cd33dfaaa7565e79ffeca250b2efcdd96efa3e3e475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,293 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 4,886$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 3,549$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.9 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 3,140$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.01 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 2,216$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,610$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,000$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.76 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 769.78$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 617.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.45 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 587$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 481$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 434$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 354.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 310.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 278.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 258$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 243$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 221.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 142.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 118.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 110.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…2837backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 89.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 12c | 84.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 75.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 58.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 52.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…8e18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 31.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 30.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…ba90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Chicago White Sox | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Chicago White Sox | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.