Mls · resolved market
Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f380285152125019f0fc19a61d081f727aacf27df67e2b02faf9457cb2f6d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 46c | 41,872$19,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,335.9 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 11,496$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 9,647$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.27 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 4,907$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.27 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 54c | 4,161$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 3,584$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.66 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 54c | 2,347$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 2,024$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 54c | 796.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 54c | 795$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 48c | 468$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 422.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Over | 55c | 372$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 364.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 363.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 345$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 266.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 251.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 224.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 53c | 215.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 191.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 16c | 159.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 53c | 152.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…62d8backed Under | 47c | 134.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 18c | 129.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 123.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 88.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 80.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 76.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 36c | 75.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 53c | 70.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 60.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 50.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 54c | 47.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…14fabacked Under | 47c | 44.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 61c | 43.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…72b1backed Under | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 54c | 36.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 54c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)D.C. United SC won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.