TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,701 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under46c41,872$19,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,335.99649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c11,496$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,306.323,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c9,647$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.2712451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.932751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.964035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c4,907$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.2797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c4,200$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93215341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over54c4,161$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c3,584$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.6625149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6105054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1505251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over54c2,347$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over53c2,024$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.268845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over54c796.3$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.37542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over54c795$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.72941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2766155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under48c468$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.357668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c422.16$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2413046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Over55c372$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c364.21$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c363.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.434650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c345$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c266.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.591,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over29c251.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.137642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over54c224.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.223228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over53c215.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.58446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over54c191.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.727150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under16c159.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over53c152.83$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8310562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6919657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over54c144.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.864242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…62d8backed Under47c134.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over18c129.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.464831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over54c124.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over55c123.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.95651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over18c110$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.25133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.45556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.45154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c88.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c80.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c76.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over36c75.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3710648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over53c70.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.048251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c60.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.66256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over53c50.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over54c47.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x640a…14fabacked Under47c44.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under61c43.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5314560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b8…72b1backed Under47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over54c36.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c29.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.565850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Over54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Over54c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Over80c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+96.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.