MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f01c8aa55b09c065701b4f80956eddb6000cfb0c86affd6f0fd8e238444f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,925$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…22c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,194$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…4ad2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…d55dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,122$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…bb91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,102$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…e339backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,089$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…8d3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,051$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…83febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,026$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,000$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 968$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.48 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees | 60c | 949$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.4 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…f5b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 913$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 860.52$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…b252backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 852$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…b08abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 817$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 64c | 801$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.74 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 796.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.88 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New York Yankees | 50c | 751.81$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 686.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…0578backed New York Yankees | 56c | 678$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…f1f3backed New York Yankees | 56c | 634$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…f9eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 628$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…1cc8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 602$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…97f0backed New York Yankees | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…bea0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 589$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…25afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 542$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…50aebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 526$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed New York Yankees | 57c | 522$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…848fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 513$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…cc21backed New York Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ae…1394backed New York Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…b768backed New York Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…db16backed New York Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…0bb9backed New York Yankees | 55c | 441$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…e380backed New York Yankees | 55c | 411$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 400$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…a385backed New York Yankees | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 389.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…49c1backed New York Yankees | 56c | 377$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…679bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 373$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…4a95backed New York Yankees | 55c | 328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 315.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…ababbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…1f47backed New York Yankees | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 258$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…b2babacked New York Yankees | 55c | 242$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 237.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 226$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 225.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 198.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 132.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 128$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 116$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…ab31backed New York Yankees | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed New York Yankees | 58c | 95.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 88.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Yankees | 27c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed New York Yankees | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 62.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New York Yankees | 68c | 55.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Yankees | 43c | 51.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 51.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…1e45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed New York Yankees | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…76febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked New York Yankees | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed New York Yankees | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.