MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbcd06e9d8b9f02226ebf88aa917cc5218b60f702fba99349871f4a573efca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,994 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 3,768$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,596$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.08 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,101$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.01 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,787$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.4 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,413$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,307$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.63 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 43c | 772.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 51c | 643.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 583$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Detroit Tigers | 14c | 509.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 441.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 385.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 371.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Yankees | 45c | 317.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 254.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 224.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed New York Yankees | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 194.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 174.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed New York Yankees | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New York Yankees | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees | 45c | 146.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 144.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 108.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked New York Yankees | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed New York Yankees | 50c | 100.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed New York Yankees | 51c | 97.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed New York Yankees | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 46c | 92.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed New York Yankees | 77c | 91.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…69a1backed New York Yankees | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New York Yankees | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…5439backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 71.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 63.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 62.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 47c | 61.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed New York Yankees | 46c | 61.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 58.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed New York Yankees | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New York Yankees | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed New York Yankees | 48c | 48.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed New York Yankees | 75c | 47.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed New York Yankees | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees | 45c | 25.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.