MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f26a5315813b9e6a1db6592475b00657e481c81233f819969fd657847ee3faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Boston Red Sox, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,646$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 776.63$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 727.44$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 666.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 616.53$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 530.43$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 309$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 280.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 258$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 222$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 210$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 145.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 99.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 67.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 67.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 60.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 58.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 51.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 50.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 48.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 41.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 37.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 33.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Atlanta Braves | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.