MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ece4cdb6d2b158644dd6f4438cb566f049f54ef913e29cc25073f278bba895

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Atlanta Bravesof New York Yankees, Atlanta Braves
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d3a…7b63backed Atlanta Braves	53c	4,043$2,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,891.05	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Atlanta Braves	53c	1,774$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.12	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Atlanta Braves	55c	1,255$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.74	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+64.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked New York Yankees	47c	1,009$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.23	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees	48c	944$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.55	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed New York Yankees	47c	711.01$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.17	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees	46c	637.03$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.35	465	47.1%219 W · 246 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked New York Yankees	48c	619.46$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed New York Yankees	46c	531.9$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.8	408	46.1%188 W · 220 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked New York Yankees	46c	465$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.22	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees	24c	457.09$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.71	555	41.4%230 W · 325 L	-26.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed New York Yankees	6c	415.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed New York Yankees	47c	405.69$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.86	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed New York Yankees	46c	337$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.39	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed New York Yankees	13c	332.77$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833a…95f7backed New York Yankees	50c	319.67$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…dbdbbacked Atlanta Braves	52c	307.69$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees	48c	299.98$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.99	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees	40c	230.18$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.48	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees	47c	211.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New York Yankees	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Atlanta Braves	54c	194.92$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.66	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves	51c	187$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.63	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees	48c	171.43$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.06	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed New York Yankees	50c	161.09$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked New York Yankees	47c	160.14$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.63	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed New York Yankees	45c	160$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees	49c	137.44$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.38	664	48.2%320 W · 344 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed New York Yankees	48c	125.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked New York Yankees	47c	124.62$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.57	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked New York Yankees	47c	124$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.28	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves	53c	106$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.82	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed New York Yankees	47c	105.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Atlanta Braves	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	352	45.5%160 W · 192 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees	20c	97.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves	72c	92.13$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.35	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed New York Yankees	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked New York Yankees	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed Atlanta Braves	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Atlanta Braves	52c	64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed New York Yankees	47c	59.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Atlanta Braves	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	509	49.5%252 W · 257 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees	23c	57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees	46c	56.8$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	1,466	44.1%647 W · 819 L	+44.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed New York Yankees	47c	54.74$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed New York Yankees	48c	48.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-23.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Atlanta Braves	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed New York Yankees	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	950	41.5%394 W · 556 L	-48.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb114…6d45backed New York Yankees	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c58…a079backed Atlanta Braves	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Atlanta Braves	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed New York Yankees	46c	37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Atlanta Braves	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	473	48.8%231 W · 242 L	-22.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed New York Yankees	47c	34.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…dd4fbacked New York Yankees	47c	34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed New York Yankees	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed New York Yankees	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Atlanta Braves	51c	23.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	106	49.1%52 W · 54 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Atlanta Braves	53c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	236	47%111 W · 125 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed New York Yankees	47c	21.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	393	44.3%174 W · 219 L	-22.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market