TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Rockies, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies33c16,854$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.7154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Diamondbacks66c11,554$7,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.574050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks63c10,493$6,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.5918837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies34c9,812$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.692,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Diamondbacks65c9,361$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.766450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Rockies39c6,645$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.2419452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Rockies33c5,100$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6831566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks67c5,090$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.6423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Diamondbacks68c4,160$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.291770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies34c3,788$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies48c3,007$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.9538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks72c2,929$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.2141747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks47c2,295$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.8423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Diamondbacks67c2,126$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.625850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies28c2,100$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9693240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies37c1,928$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies32c1,748$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.41,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies34c1,478$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.176,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies31c1,357$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.815,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3831248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies30c1,191$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Rockies29c1,031$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Diamondbacks68c1,023$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6322546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies42c958.28$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8141643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies33c906.96$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.324547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies33c901$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3350843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies36c710.45$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.244,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies33c595.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies30c568.12$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies28c543.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.141,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies32c539.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.481,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies32c538.74$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.41,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…b08fbacked Rockies33c533.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockies31c531.04$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9934164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rockies30c513.8$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies31c500$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15722142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies33c454.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.981,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7613553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies38c418.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies32c398.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks68c360.25$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.661,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks68c358.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.389,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies32c313$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1640548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18351151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies32c299.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7566…c91fbacked Diamondbacks67c298.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5156351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5121656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Diamondbacks75c282.61$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.656443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks67c279.1$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies27c225$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies32c209.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0243247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…4099backed Diamondbacks79c201.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.943360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6417139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Diamondbacks60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6734264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Rockies32c149.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9824351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0639160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ac…091ebacked Diamondbacks68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…3e45backed Diamondbacks68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rockies32c143.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.639151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks68c143$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.762,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Rockies38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rockies44c130.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Diamondbacks68c116.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1814654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Rockies35c115.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2946631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Diamondbacks73c100.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6613250.8%67 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Diamondbacks72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Rockies41c90.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2113447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Diamondbacks68c86.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.524847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Rockies39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Rockies41c77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5711165.8%73 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Diamondbacks68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Diamondbacks68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5318155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x894a…3d3cbacked Rockies30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Rockies33c63.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Diamondbacks79c63.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5923060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…459fbacked Diamondbacks67c63.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Rockies34c61.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.327458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rockies33c57.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8518350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rockies37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…9d9ebacked Diamondbacks68c53.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies32c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.961,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…7d49backed Rockies33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e7…c4bdbacked Diamondbacks67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Rockies32c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.