MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a86bceef30b7cbcb9b77e5ce1815ca0422dbf4f2c93e1613eb14407dd52573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cardinals | 48c | 314,000$151,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,479.99 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 52c | 128,928$66,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,740.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Cubs | 52c | 95,921$49,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,878.97 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 51c | 55,555$28,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,333.02 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 52c | 27,777$14,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,444.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…3162backed Cubs | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 52c | 5,799$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 51c | 4,724$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.4 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 51c | 4,607$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.69 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 48c | 4,379$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.36 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 52c | 2,314$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.2 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 46c | 2,044$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.86 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 51c | 1,991$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.41 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,865$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 2c | 1,823$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 2c | 1,338$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Cubs | 28c | 1,061$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 2c | 959.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Cubs | 51c | 882.28$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 51c | 755.11$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 50c | 746.05$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 7c | 726.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cardinals | 49c | 617$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cardinals | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cardinals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 53c | 422$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.57 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Cubs | 52c | 417.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 41c | 403.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 390.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 366.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…19e7backed Cardinals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…7891backed Cubs | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 50c | 269$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cardinals | 49c | 253$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cardinals | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Cubs | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Cubs | 17c | 216.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Cubs | 57c | 211.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 50c | 209.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 51c | 186.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Cubs | 52c | 185.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Cubs | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 33c | 168$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 160.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 51c | 159$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 139.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Cubs | 53c | 127.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Cubs | 51c | 121.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Cardinals | 50c | 120.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 119.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 112.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…719ebacked Cubs | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Cardinals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Cardinals | 51c | 91.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Cubs | 52c | 91.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…4727backed Cubs | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…7534backed Cardinals | 50c | 88.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Cubs | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Cubs | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Cardinals | 50c | 76.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22e3…ef1ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 76.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa702…6810backed Cubs | 51c | 74.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Cardinals | 50c | 73.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Cubs | 51c | 70.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Cubs | 52c | 69.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 68.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…187abacked Cardinals | 50c | 67.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…7687backed Cubs | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Cardinals | 50c | 64.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…9ea3backed Cubs | 51c | 63.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Cubs | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…1981backed Cubs | 28c | 54.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Cubs | 53c | 53.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Cardinals | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.